RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS OF WILDFIRES IN THE KRASNOYARSK TERRITORY BY MEANS OF DATA SCIENCE AND MACHINE LEARNING METHODS
Abstract and keywords
Abstract:
The article analyzes data on wildfires in the Krasnoyarsk Territory for the period 2011-2023, taking into account their geographical distribution. The article examines: (1) exploratory analysis of fire data, including anthropogenic impact on fire activity and changes in fires over the years; (2) building a machine learning model that predicts whether the heat point is critical, i.e., it is located closer than 5 km from a populated area or the fire area is more than 200 hectares. The novelty of the work lies in the effective use of the R programming language, endowed with advanced capabilities for data analysis, modeling by machine learning and visualization methods. The use of data processing methods discussed in the article can improve the accuracy of detecting and predicting changes in fire activity, subsequent monitoring and large-scale firefighting management. The approaches discussed in the article can be applied to other regions of the Russian Federation

Keywords:
wildfires, machine learning, modeling
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